Earlier this year, Infill Thinking predicted that the Permian frac sand workforce would peak during 2Q19. Analysis of 2Q19 actual workforce trends confirms the prediction has panned out. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, …
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Schlumberger’s New CEO Talks Frac Iron Technology Step Change And The US Onshore Outlook
What matters most to Infill Thinking readers is what Schlumberger is doing in the US onshore market and what their view of Lower 48 OFS market conditions is at this juncture. So that’s the focus of the following five points, which we believe are the most important things Schlumberger said …
Read More »For The Second Quarter In A Row, Frac Sand Car Loads Are Stable At This Big Line
Here’s what completions supply chain folks need to know about Union Pacific’s market commentary Thursday morning… There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a member. If you are new to Infill Thinking, …
Read More »Starting To Sound Like A Broken Record… But There’s ANOTHER Bankruptcy In Frac Sand
The “Summer Of Restructuring” continues in frac sand. This week, we identified a third Chapter 11 filing in the space… There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a member. If you are …
Read More »E&P Consolidation Is A Catalyst For More Oilfield Water Divestitures & Recycling
Towards the end of the press release on Callon’s acquisition of Carrizo this week, a comment on oilfield water caught our eye. It signals… There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a …
Read More »The Only Rig Count Constant Is Change…
With 2Q19 in the books, here’s how horizontal drilling trends stacked up during the quarter across the major unconventional basins. Overall the US unconventional rig count was down X% during 2Q19… There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive …
Read More »2nd Frac Sand Bankruptcy In Less Than A Week As Restructuring Trend Gains Steam…
Shale Support filed Chapter 11 last Thursday. In our coverage at the time, we noted they would not be alone in the bankruptcy camp for very long. We admittedly didn’t know they’d have company quite this fast though… Yesterday in bankruptcy court… There’s a lot more to this story… Login …
Read More »Last Call For Summer Survey…Polls Close This Evening
At Infill Thinking, we are very aware of what our greatest asset is. Without a doubt it is our membership roster. We are honored to have on this list some of the most accomplished executives in the US onshore business. We are also very aware of what the key debates …
Read More »You Using 7-Inch Frac Iron Yet? This Could Be The Next Step In Frac Spread Streamlining
Driving stage counts per day higher has been the name of the game in completions over the past several years. In this deep dive piece late-last year, we explored the frac efficiency trend in detail, documenting the success operators and pumpers were achieving. Versus 2016 frac cycle times, some operators …
Read More »Bankruptcy In Frac Sand
Restructuring continues in the frac sand industry, claiming another sand producer this week. Per the bankruptcy filing, the company owes total debts of… Details in the full report. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, …
Read More »Putting Permian Frac Thirst Into Broader Lower 48 Context [Chart Of The Day]
We estimate fracing the arid Permian Basin in 2019 requires X times as much pre-frac water as the next busiest US unconventional basin. Here’s a visual and analysis… There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, …
Read More »Revisiting The Oklahoma Mine “Permitatorium” – Will This Sleeping Giant Awaken In Other States Too?
About a month ago, we published an update on a mining permit moratorium in Oklahoma. After a bullet-point recap, we discuss the nuances with an expert, talk about the read-through to other states including New Mexico and Louisiana, and then provide some clarification on a new permit filed by an …
Read More »The Great Pause… A Look At The Current US Drilling Cycle In Crude Context
The drilling activity upcycle that began in 2016 started to take a breather in 4Q18. Now 2019 is shaping up to be the first down year in the past three years for rig count. In the 6-slide deck below, you’ll see the story of the current cycle in the context …
Read More »A Thematic Recap Of Infill Thinking’s 2Q19 Oilfield Market Research
Here with the third quarter of 2019 only about a week old, we are pausing to take a look back at 10 key themes that threaded through our research over the past 3 months. 1. Infill Thinking’s Oilfield Water Coverage Reached Critical Mass. While continuing to devote plenty of research …
Read More »The Top Ten Infill Thinking Updates Of 2Q19 In Sand & Water
During 2Q19, the Infill Thinking research team: published 106 written research updates emailed 24 Infill Thoughts newsletters to active members issued 15 data releases to Think Sheets® members co-hosted the industry’s first Oilfield Water Finance conference and spoke at the SPE Permian Symposium, both in Houston conducted site visits and …
Read More »The DJ Basin’s Key County Is Working Hard To Turn SB-181 Lemons Into Lemonade. Its Neighbor Is Not…
When Colorado’s SB-181 legislation passed in April 2019, it injected new uncertainties in the tenuous Colorado energy regulation climate. In our weekly rig count update this week, we discuss the fall-out and then shine the spotlight on the state’s rig count trends at the county level. There’s a lot more …
Read More »One Step Forward, One Step Back For Electric Frac
We analyze the latest electric frac fleet news, breaking down a new disclosure from a leading pressure pumper. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a member. If you are new to …
Read More »The Electric Frac Fleet Is Doubling From 2018 To 2020 [Chart Of The Day]
A data-driven look at trends in electric frac fleet deployments. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a member. If you are new to Infill Thinking, or your membership has expired, please …
Read More »As WaterBridge Pulls The Plug On IPO… More Oilfield Water Finance Conference Takeaways
In this update, we talk about why the withdrawal of the WaterBridge IPO isn’t a big surprise followed by takeaways from the afternoon sessions of the Oilfield Water Finance conference – an event that provides context and a framework for processing headlines like WaterBridge’s… The inaugural Oilfield Water Connection event …
Read More »12 Questions For The Software Guru Behind CIG’s Proplogistics Platform [Silica Valley + Guest Post]
We take you deep inside the 1s and 0s of another frac sand last mile software platform as our Silica Valley series rolls on. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a …
Read More »Lower 48 Sighting: A Brand New Wellsite Storage Solution Is Being Deployed [Exclusive]
After learning about a new system’s arrival in the US from industry sources, we caught up with the management team behind the deployment. We have learned the following information about this new Lower 48 deployment: There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read …
Read More »The First 2020 E&P Spending Signal Is A Bummer For The Oilfield Service Sector
An important E&P capex update this week reads negative for anyone hoping for an oilfield spending increase in 2020. Here’s the relevant excerpt followed by our analysis: There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you …
Read More »Checking In On The Texas Pacific Land Trust Power Struggle
The power struggle for control of the 900,000 Permian acres controlled by Texas Pacific Land Trust has slowed down significantly since our last update three weeks ago. The newsflow decline was largely expected because of… There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read …
Read More »One-Year Anniversary Of Infill Thinking’s Peak Permian Drilling Prediction
In an update exactly one year ago titled For The Permian Rig Count, Flat Is The New Up. Calling The Temporary Top we wrote that the rig count had likely peaked in the Permian for the time being. We don’t always get ’em right around here, but this is one …
Read More »The Last Mile Solution Situation A Half Year Into Oversupply [Chart Of The Day]
We believe that new gen supply of wellsite frac sand storage systems climbed above demand for the first time in late-4Q18. Long time readers may recall this deep dive analysis from September 2018 outlining the new gen growth trajectory and coming inflection. Here’s what’s new since then… There’s a lot …
Read More »Marcia, Marcia, Marcia… Hot Takes From The Oilfield Water Connection’s Morning Sessions Last Week
Last Friday, the who’s who of oilfield water management gathered at the Oilfield Water Connection’s inaugural event at the Houston Petroleum Club. This executive event happened at a defining moment in oilfield wastewater management – for this sector is undergoing rapid, transactionally-driven change. From highly informative panel discussions to unrivaled …
Read More »The Case Against Re-Bundling Final Mile [Guest Post]
“You might be surprised, but some of the most successful E&Ps to truly direct source final mile sand, trucking, and storage are the small to midsized E&Ps,” writes today’s guest author. Then he explains why as well as a big mistake he thinks some folks in the market are making …
Read More »Buzz Builds Around WPX’s Water Infrastructure
WPX has talked about oilfield water assets strategy on investor conference calls times earlier this year. Their tone has progressively evolved in our view, and this week… There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you …
Read More »Haynesville Sand Market Update As Jerry Jones Ups His Stake To Over A Billion In The Play
During our recent field trip through the basin and many conversations with a variety of local market participants, we’ve managed to piece together some general market intel on the proppant market and supply chain conditions in this basin. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full …
Read More »Here’s The Latest On The Last Big Louisiana Frac Sand Mine Under Construction
During a drive through the Haynesville in early-June 2019, we passed by the construction site of a new frac sand plant just south of Shreveport, LA. Shortly after driving by, we talked with management to confirm some of our field observations and learn more about the project from this new …
Read More »Checking In With The Biggest Haynesville In-Basin Sand Supplier
We caught up with the management team of the only company operating two new construction local frac sand plants in the Haynesville shale for the latest scoop on their operations… There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our …
Read More »Checking In On Sierra Frac Sand In The Haynesville
We caught up with a sand producing management for an update on their Haynesville plant and the latest details on in-basin market trends. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a member. …
Read More »Keane & J – Deal Thoughts, Industry Implications, & Frac M&A Generally Speaking
As expected and rumored in the industry, frac fleet consolidation has just begun and is likely to continue. Or is it? We discuss the implications of the Keane / C&J merger of equals announced Monday here after predicting that consolidation was coming in an update posted over this past weekend. …
Read More »US Oil Production Keeps Bifurcating From Rig Count – How Long Before “Doing More With Less” Runs Out Of Gas?
With 2019 nearly halfway over, we thought it’d be a good time for a US oil production growth status check. And it doesn’t look good for the service industry, although there is a silver lining for rig owners that we see in the data… There’s a lot more to this …
Read More »Is The Competitive Landscape In Pressure Pumping About To Shift?
On Thursday last week, Reuters reported that Patterson-UTI is exploring the divestiture of their pressure pumping business. After that, we heard from our own sources that… There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must …
Read More »A High Velocity Stream Of Oilfield Water Deals As The Corporate Landscape Rapidly Evolves [Chart Of The Day]
Most folks reading this update probably know that dealflow in the oilfield water sector is extremely hot in mid-2019. That said the magnitude of the transaction surge and cumulative deal flow described below may come as a bit of a surprise even to those that are plugged in on this …
Read More »Clearing Up The Erroneous Rhetoric Being Thrown Around In Opposition To Local Permian Sand [Guest Post]
Today’s guest post comes to us from Hunter Wallace who is Chief Operating Officer at Atlas Sand. Something we appreciate about Hunter is that he’s not shy to voice his beliefs with a high degree of conviction. Those of you that attended the Petroleum Connection’s frac sand conference last October …
Read More »When Water & Sand Don’t Mix – A New MidCon “Permitatorium” To Monitor
We are keeping an eye on a new act that might have implications for future local frac sand capacity in Oklahoma’s SCOOP/STACK plays. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a member. …
Read More »The 2H19 Drilling Slowdown Came Early. How Low Will We Go?
While our recent work on rig count has detected signals from E&P operators that more rig releases are coming, this won’t be a 2H19 pivot but rather the continuation of a now well established trend. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read …
Read More »Industry Voices Weigh In On The Electri-frac-ation Trend [Infill Thinking Exclusive]
In this piece, we’ve put together a proprietary “voice of the industry” survey on electric frac fleets. We talked to contacts across the completions space about the pros, cons, adoption rates, and second order effects of utilizing electric frac fleets for this study. There’s a lot more to this story… …
Read More »Cranking Up The Juice On The Electric Frac Replacement Narrative
In an after-hours newsletter one month ago, we warned Infill Thinking members that the buzz around electric frac fleets was poised to surge to new heights. That happened and then some! We take a look at the narrative that Wall Street has been pushing since the big dual e-fracing datapoints …
Read More »Produced Water Pow Wows On The Rise… [Chart Of The Day]
Earlier this week, we released a piece titled the The Oilfield Water Ownership Conundrum, which analyzed the business model strategies of 16 operators on their oilfield water management practices. Even as we write, there are multiple deal processes underway in the oilfield water space. One smart water contact plugged into …
Read More »Enter Sandman: Another Canadian Contender For The Lower 48 Last Mile Market
Multiple last mile / wellsite storage system technologies working in the US today hail from Canadian heritage. This is an observation we’ve written about multiple times in the past (including in this analysis piece and this guest post piece). This week we came across a new Canadian systems that we …
Read More »What Do Big Spring And Riyadh Share In Common Besides Lots Of Rigs?
Answer: HABOOB! And there was a huge one in the Midland Basin this week. Here’s around up of some of the best pictures posted by oilfield guys on social media this week… There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and …
Read More »What Does “Sustainable” Look Like? [A Frac Sand Op-Ed]
I don’t say this often, but this op-ed guest post is a must-read. It might be a wake up call for some folks. It’ll no doubt serve as confirmation for others. And while some of the piece is controversial, I suspect that more readers than not will be nodding their …
Read More »Infill Thinking’s Rig Count Analysis Shows Up In The News… And In A Twitter Poll…
A Bloomberg news article last week cited our in-depth rig customer analysis shared to Infill Thinking members. So this week, we continue that discussion with an impromptu survey… There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, …
Read More »The Customer Is Always Right, And Here’s What Customers Are Saying About Local Sand In Mid-2019
It’s hard to believe that it’s been almost two years since we wrote the first “What Customers Say About Local Sand” piece! Anyone remember this little number? At the time of that writing, customers were starting to express their opinions on local sand for the very first time. Fast forward …
Read More »The Oilfield Water Ownership Conundrum [Color Coded Roundup Of E&P Strategies]
The oilfield water asset monetization trend is a more frequent topic in E&P conversations with investors these days, as analysts pepper management teams with questions about potential divestitutures in the wake of several notable recent water transactions. Here’s what some of the leaders are saying… There’s a lot more to …
Read More »Frac Sand Scattershooting [A Dozen Misc. Proppant & Last Mile Datapoints]
In addition to the in-depth updates Infill Thinking published this week, we hunted down a variety of miscellaneous datapoints from around the sandpatch in our research process this week that are deserving of a quick mention. Let’s jump right in, shall we? Oh and it’s total coincidence that the titles …
Read More »Secret Conference Rooms, Intimidating Private Investigators, And Undisclosed Private Planes… Just Another Day In The TPL Power Struggle
In the struggle for control of Texas Pacific Land Trust, accusations are flying hot and heavy. The battle between the activist investor and incumbent trustees is not just playing out in the press any more. It’s going to court. Both sides have sued each other since our last update. Here’s …
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