Today we are wrapping up our frac sand scattershooting series with our third installment. feature image used with creative commons license There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a member. If …
Read More »Latest Thoughts
It Took Just Over 400 Frac Sand Trucks To Break A STACK Record [Follow The Leaders]
We did some math on the record breaking well announced by the STACK leader this week. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a member. If you are new to Infill Thinking, …
Read More »Establishing A 2018 Tight Oil E&P Capex Growth Floor? The Most Budget Conscious E&P Set A 16% 2018 Increase Vs. Prior 2017 Plan
Anadarko’s 2018 capital spending program was released Thursday morning. It is one of the first detailed 2018 E&P budgets to be released this budget season. Given their focus on discipline and returns and leadership in crafting a sustainable framework for developing tight oil, Anadarko’s E&P capex budget should help establish …
Read More »In The Nation’s Two Biggest Liquids Plays, It’s A Tale Of Two Cities
In this weekly rig count update, we take a quick look at the rig count evolution of today’s two most important US onshore markets: West Texas and Oklahoma. You may remember the following chart from an update early this year when we wrote about the bifurcated Permian market place…. …
Read More »About 80 Trucks A Day Are Moving Out Of Aequor’s Gates Out In Culberson County Right Now
We checked in with Aequor management out in Culberson County for an update on the Permian Basin’s second online frac sand mine. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a member. If …
Read More »It’s Time To Spin The Globe Looking For Signs Of Life As Brent Flirts With $65/Barrel
The recovery in oilfield service (OFS) activity and pricing outside the US has been waiting in the wings for three years. Outside the US, there have only been a few international bright spots – non-US oilfield growth has been non-existent. Most countries’ oilfield service markets have been dragging bottom all …
Read More »Permian Frac Sand Scattershooting Part 2: Smart Sand’s Plan, Well Performance, New Contracts, Delaware Usage
Another installment in our popular series of tidbits on Permian Basin frac sand mine scene happenings. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a member. If you are new to Infill Thinking, …
Read More »Canary In The Coal Mine? A Pecos Spring Just Went Dry For Just The Third Time In Recorded History
On the heels of an industry-first Delaware Basin water deal signed about a week ago comes a report from a Permian rancher to our desk that a historic spring has gone dry. In this update, we examine the brackish water requirements implied by frac sand volumes, discuss the dry spring’s …
Read More »US Silica Customer: “Most West Texas Frac Sand Mine Sites Are Just A Wooden Shack At The End Of A Long Dirt Road”
US Silica reported better than expected 3Q17 and a very strong outlook for 2018 Monday evening. Tuesday morning on the conference call, we recorded market insights on SandBox, West Texas capacity, updates on US Silica’s Crane & Lamesa plants, 2018 overall demand, contracting activity, the outlook for Northern White, among …
Read More »Permian Frac Sand Scattershooting Part 1 – Minegate Price Clue, Coating Facility, Site Updates, Skeptical Operator, and more…
The following list is baker’s dozen of assorted datapoints and tidbits we’ve heard about the frac sand business over the past couple weeks. This piece addresses the goings-on in Permian frac sand. We’ll have another installment of frac sand scattershooting later this week to address trends in the broader market. …
Read More »Although Garden Variety Pad Rigs Are Sold Out, A $30mm “Mega-Pad-Ready” Newbuild Pitch Doesn’t Seem To Be Gaining Traction
A new type of land rig is being proposed to tackle mega-pads in the very deepest sections of the Wolfcamp. In this post, check out the latest on operator interest as well as the features that make this rig unique and cost about 30% more than the current shale-ready rig …
Read More »Reading The 2018 US E&P Capex Tea Leaves As Operators “Apologize” For Growing
This week, E&P management teams talked with investors about the big picture framework and mindset this budget season. We recap the key takeaways from the key players and review the overarching themes of 2018 budget season and what this means for oilfield service contractors. There’s a lot more to this …
Read More »A STACK / Delaware Leader Has Bought All Its 2018 Finer Mesh Sand From Southern Regional Mines
The unrivaled STACK E&P leader (and major Delaware player) said this Wednesday that they have contracted all of their 2018 frac sand requirements. This is newsworthy in and of itself, but more noteworthy is the geographical sourcing. We provide details and think through the market implications here. There’s a lot …
Read More »Fixer Upper Star Mark McCollum Unveils The Specifics Of Weatherford’s Renovation
Last quarter, Mark was just getting his footing and undertaking a strategic review of the organization he inherited. This quarter, he got much more specific on what the Weatherford of the future will look like. Mark’s plan is more than a fresh coat of paint and new granite counter-tops. It’s …
Read More »Forum’s Revenue Inversion & M&A Strategy Underscore A Seller’s Market Developing In NAM Completions
On Tuesday, Forum Energy Technologies said their NAM completions business has become their largest revenue generator. Completions and production/infrastructure (C&P) segment revenues contribute 80% of the global oilfield products company’ top line. Moreover, 85% of Forum’s sales are onshore and 80% come from North America (NAM). This is a company …
Read More »Cliff Notes From A Constructive Hi-Crush Conference Call
A very constructive conference call this morning went along way to offsetting the investor disappointment on volumes sold during 3Q that we noted yesterday in this update. The stock reversed its after-hours decline and is trading materially higher this morning. Here are the key points we jotted down from the …
Read More »Hi Crush Quick Take: Sales And Volume Charts, Kermit Update, Coarse Reclamation
Quick take after Hi-Crush released earnings this afternoon. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a member. If you are new to Infill Thinking, or your membership has expired, please email us …
Read More »Tailwinds Form Behind 2018 E&P Capex Budgets
The following brief analytical editorial was excerpted from our twice-weekly newsletter on Tuesday October 31, 2017. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a member. If you are new to Infill …
Read More »A Blank $300 Million Check And Big Brand Name Recognition – OFS SPAC IPO Friday
There is a new oilfield service company scheduled to price a $300mm initial public equity offering on November 3. This isn’t an ordinary IPO though – it is a blank check company backed by some oilfield industry titans. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full …
Read More »Sand In The Wind: Charting West Texas Vs. Wisconsin Air Currents
Wind presents a big risk factor for West Texas mines. It’s a challenge that mine builders don’t have to design to in Wisconsin, so cookie cutter designs may face issues with open sand pile erosion. After a windy week in West Texas, we put pen to paper to chart the …
Read More »US Land Drilling Contractors Unanimously Defy The Rig Count Trend
Three of the largest US land drillers (together controlling 35% of the market) openly resisted the downward trending rig count last week. The US land rig count fell in 9 of the last 12 weeks and is off 5% from peak. The prevailing view has been that this decline would …
Read More »We Fished These 25 Key Points From The Earnings Ocean
During earnings season, an ocean of content comes at you fast. 7,000 words are spoken on the average earnings conference call. There were 27 oilfield earnings conference calls this week. We did the math. That’s the word count equivalent of 200 Infill Thinking posts. How much of this info overload …
Read More »A Landman Turned Sandman Is Opening Two In-Basin Haynesville Frac Sand Mines
We take you behind the scenes in another market beyond the Permian that may be fully supplied by in-basin frac sand by the end of next year. The story of these new Louisiana sand mines reminds us that there is plenty of potential for in-basin deposits beyond the dunes of …
Read More »Nice Timing On The 4th Well Advanced West Texas Sand Producer Joining The TCP
The heat on the lizard is rising so US Silica’s news of inclusion in the Texas Conservation Plan TCP is well timed. More thoughts on the news and who else is in… There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and …
Read More »New Movement On Petition To List The Lizard [Exclusive]
Subscribers only. Breaking and exclusive reporting on the very latest in the dune sage brush lizard story from Infill Thinking. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a member. If you are …
Read More »9th Largest US Pressure Pumper Says Permian Completion Supply Chain & Logistics Are A Mess
Superior Energy Services, the ninth largest US pressure pumper by active horsepower, spoke comprehensively about the North American oilfield service market (and Permian completions in particular) on Tuesday morning. We’ve organized our notes from the conference call into the following key points. There’s a lot more to this story… Login …
Read More »Kermit Sand Job Openings Surge To More Than 1/5th Of Regional Hiring Demand [Chart Of The Day]
Based on a study of job openings on Indeed.com, we estimate that upwards of 20% of advertised job listings in the Kermit/Monahans area of West Texas are posted by startup frac sand mines. In the full article, we show which sand miners have positions open and who they are competing with …
Read More »Sharpest & Shortest Drilling Recovery In Modern US Land Rig History?
The falling rig count is playing heavily into early 3Q17 conference call discussions, particularly after last week’s big drop. We’ve long thought this correction was expected, but reaction to the decline reminds us that nothing is ever truly “priced in” until it happens. Here’s some context on where we’ve been, …
Read More »Halliburton Weighs In On Key Market Debates: 2018 Outlook, Frac Pricing, Newbuilds, Sand Trends, Etc.
Halliburton hosted what we saw as a generally positive and realistic conference call Monday morning. The stock took a hit, we believe due to slowing NAM cyclical growth overall not because of HAL-specific concerns. The US rig count is pulling back as expected. In that context, Halliburton is focused on …
Read More »After A “Fractastic” Quarter, Schlumberger Diagnoses The US Onshore Market With A Muted Growth Outlook Next Year
Listening to Schlumberger’s conference call this morning, we were reminded just how much Big OFS has changed. In this update, we focus on takeaways relevant to the oilfield’s general population – specifically the outlook for US pressure pumping, international OFS, new offshore contracting models, and the oil macro. There’s a lot …
Read More »3Q17 Oilfield Earnings Season Cram Session
Over the next three weeks, 86 oilfield companies we monitor will host conference calls to discuss results and outlook. We’ve got a cool sector timeline plus heatmap to help you know when to tune in to hear from sectors you care about. We also share an easy to digest list …
Read More »The US Frac Sand Renaissance & Charts Illustrating The Supply Stack Transformation
Yesterday morning, we had an opportunity to get out of the weeds a little bit and think about the big picture. We were preparing for an “introduction to the frac sand market” conference call with a consulting client who is new to the space and looking to get up to …
Read More »One Of The World’s Most Capable Offshore Rigs Just Agreed To Work Pro Bono For The Next 24 Months
We break down a very important offshore drilling contract, explaining what it means for the deepwater market. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a member. If you are new to Infill …
Read More »New Discussion: If Risks Hypothetically Derail In-Basin Sand Supply, Will Permian Transload Capacity Be Enough?
There is a new discussion topic over in our members-only discussion forum today. Click here to read the full thread and discuss In it we ponder whether enough Permian transload capacity is in place to service demand growth if in-basin frac sand mines fall short of expectations. Understandably, investment appetite …
Read More »Update On Permian In-Basin Mine Number Two, Mine Number Three & Contracting Competition
Several Permian Basin mines are now shipping sand. But only one is still fully operational. What’s the latest on the next two in terms of startup schedules? Based on our recent discussion with management teams of the new plants approaching the finish line, we provide readers with a status update …
Read More »Oilfield Reaction To The Looming ELD Regulations
On Monday morning this week, we sent out an email survey to a select group of industry insiders who subscribe to Infill Thinking. We asked these folks to provide feedback anonymously on the risk to oilfield activity posed by phase-in of electronic logging device regs this December. We got some insightful …
Read More »Marcellus Shale Drilling Permits Hit A Two-Year High
Starting this week, we begin an analytical tour around basins outside the Permian. The focus feature in each of our regular weekly rig count updates over the next couple weeks will provide an overview on D&C activity trends in key basins beyond West Texas. Here are five Marcellus Shale charts …
Read More »Will “Rolling Protests” Go Viral Like NFL Kneeling And Delay ELD Regulation?
A new protest has begun in the trucking community. It is starting small, but it is highly visible and could spread fast to the national stage. It has big implications for the oilfield. If the movement continues to grow, it could be a near-term negative for US onshore activity levels, …
Read More »Unimin’s Permian Plant Location Finally Revealed
The long awaited Unimin Permian sand mine location has finally been announced. A new filing reveals one of the best kept secrets of the Permian Basin sand mine rush: where will Unimin build their plant? There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read …
Read More »Borr Drilling Is… The Most Interesting Offshore Driller In The World
Friday was a big day for Borr Drilling. First the Schlumberger deal “an industry first” and now consolidation of stranded newbuilds. Borr is fast becoming the most exciting name to watch in offshore drilling. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this …
Read More »This Large Permian Operator Will Cautiously Start Replacing Northern White Sand With Local Next Quarter
We’ve heard from a lot of sand producers lately on the prospects of and plans for in-basin sand. More important of course is the commentary from E&P companies. We’ll be hearing a lot more from them as 3Q17 reporting season rolls around here in about three weeks. Here’s what one …
Read More »The Top 10 Infill Thinking Stories Of 3Q17 & A Word About Independence
3Q17 Highlights We shipped 27 newsletters during the third quarter. Our open rate averaged 60%. Based on analysis conducted by our email service provider, e-newsletters in our category average an open rate of 15-25%. Here is the newsletter that readers found the most intriguing: 2 New Permian Mines, M&A Mistake, …
Read More »How Busy Is The West Texas Frac Sand Market? It’s This Busy… [Video]
We share a peek at trucks waiting on frac sand sent into us by a reader in the Permian Basin. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a member. If you are …
Read More »Preferred Sands Confirms Commitment To Build Two Permian Plants, Shoots Down Oilfield Speculation Of A Cancellation
Here’s what you need to know about the latest rumor moving through the Permian Basin sand mining sewing circle. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a member. If you are new …
Read More »A Step Closer To “OneJackup” As Schlumberger & Borr Formalize The First Performance-Based Offshore Drilling Rig Model
Context and thoughts on the Borr / Schlumberger announcement. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a member. If you are new to Infill Thinking, or your membership has expired, please email …
Read More »Some Initial Thoughts On Reports That Unimin Is Buying Fairmount Santrol
Here’s what you need to know about the rumors that Unimin is buying Fairmount Santrol. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a member. If you are new to Infill Thinking, or …
Read More »10 Interesting Things We Learned During The Recent Frac Sand Supply & Logistics Conference
Want to know what a ton of frac sand is going for in the Permian spot market? Want to know what could cut 30% of trucking capacity out of the market? Want to know what has everyone in the oilfield on edge these days? Want to know what people expect …
Read More »US Oilfield Contract Labor Heatmap & Listing Analysis [Guest Post]
Last quarter, RigUp contributed one of Infill Thinking’s most popular guest posts to date, sharing their views on trucking rates and demand and quantifying the addressable market for hauling for the first time. So we asked them to follow that up in this Friday guest post with a look at …
Read More »We Still Can’t Find This Mine, But We Found The Job Ads…
We are tracking 19 new frac sand mines worth 70mmtpa in the Permian Basin. We know where all but one of them are. We got some indication that the mystery site is moving forward this week, but we still don’t have a location… There’s a lot more to this story… …
Read More »Stop The Printers… Everyone’s Slides Are Outdated… Yet Another Permian Mine Just Announced
The largest frac sand industry conference begins today (Wednesday 9/27) in Houston. And as the industry’s movers and shakers gathered over breakfast this morning, a leading sand producer dropped the news of their second planned facility in the Permian Basin derailing who knows how many conversations… Here’s our quick thoughts …
Read More »