Friday was a big day for Borr Drilling. First the Schlumberger deal “an industry first” and now consolidation of stranded newbuilds. Borr is fast becoming the most exciting name to watch in offshore drilling. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this …
Read More »Latest Thoughts
This Large Permian Operator Will Cautiously Start Replacing Northern White Sand With Local Next Quarter
We’ve heard from a lot of sand producers lately on the prospects of and plans for in-basin sand. More important of course is the commentary from E&P companies. We’ll be hearing a lot more from them as 3Q17 reporting season rolls around here in about three weeks. Here’s what one …
Read More »The Top 10 Infill Thinking Stories Of 3Q17 & A Word About Independence
3Q17 Highlights We shipped 27 newsletters during the third quarter. Our open rate averaged 60%. Based on analysis conducted by our email service provider, e-newsletters in our category average an open rate of 15-25%. Here is the newsletter that readers found the most intriguing: 2 New Permian Mines, M&A Mistake, …
Read More »How Busy Is The West Texas Frac Sand Market? It’s This Busy… [Video]
We share a peek at trucks waiting on frac sand sent into us by a reader in the Permian Basin. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a member. If you are …
Read More »Preferred Sands Confirms Commitment To Build Two Permian Plants, Shoots Down Oilfield Speculation Of A Cancellation
Here’s what you need to know about the latest rumor moving through the Permian Basin sand mining sewing circle. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a member. If you are new …
Read More »A Step Closer To “OneJackup” As Schlumberger & Borr Formalize The First Performance-Based Offshore Drilling Rig Model
Context and thoughts on the Borr / Schlumberger announcement. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a member. If you are new to Infill Thinking, or your membership has expired, please email …
Read More »Some Initial Thoughts On Reports That Unimin Is Buying Fairmount Santrol
Here’s what you need to know about the rumors that Unimin is buying Fairmount Santrol. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a member. If you are new to Infill Thinking, or …
Read More »10 Interesting Things We Learned During The Recent Frac Sand Supply & Logistics Conference
Want to know what a ton of frac sand is going for in the Permian spot market? Want to know what could cut 30% of trucking capacity out of the market? Want to know what has everyone in the oilfield on edge these days? Want to know what people expect …
Read More »US Oilfield Contract Labor Heatmap & Listing Analysis [Guest Post]
Last quarter, RigUp contributed one of Infill Thinking’s most popular guest posts to date, sharing their views on trucking rates and demand and quantifying the addressable market for hauling for the first time. So we asked them to follow that up in this Friday guest post with a look at …
Read More »We Still Can’t Find This Mine, But We Found The Job Ads…
We are tracking 19 new frac sand mines worth 70mmtpa in the Permian Basin. We know where all but one of them are. We got some indication that the mystery site is moving forward this week, but we still don’t have a location… There’s a lot more to this story… …
Read More »Stop The Printers… Everyone’s Slides Are Outdated… Yet Another Permian Mine Just Announced
The largest frac sand industry conference begins today (Wednesday 9/27) in Houston. And as the industry’s movers and shakers gathered over breakfast this morning, a leading sand producer dropped the news of their second planned facility in the Permian Basin derailing who knows how many conversations… Here’s our quick thoughts …
Read More »US Onshore Rig Count Keeps Sliding… Except In The Permian
The US land rig count peaked most recently on August 4, 2017. Since then, it is down 21 rigs and down again slightly this week. Without the Permian Basin, it’d be down even more. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this …
Read More »Environmentalists Blitz The W. TX Sand Miners, TCP, & E&P
A leading environmentalist group has issued a new report on sand production in the Permian Basin and it’s impact on the dune sagebrush lizard. The report says sand mining is a threat to the lizard that overshadows all the rest. Login to get the details on this new development… There’s a …
Read More »The 6 Ws Of Permian Basin Frac Sand Mining [Slide Download]
Infill Thinking founder and principal research analyst Joseph Triepke will present an overview of the Permian Basin frac sand rush as part of a panel including senior executives from three Permian sand producers. The presentation will be delivered Thursday morning September 28, 2017 in Houston. In this update, subscribers may …
Read More »Local Media In West Texas Now Reporting That A DSL Listing Petition Is Imminent
The local press in West Texas reports that a listing petition is to be filed imminently. This could impact both Permian E&P and frac sand producers. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must …
Read More »Read The Preferred Sands Response To Recent In-Basin 40/70 Criticism
The debate around in-basin 40/70 grade frac sand quality heated up earlier this week when one Permian sand producer argued vigorously that customers will not buy local 40/70 because it is too fine and fragile. Preferred Sands, whose West Texas reserve profile is 50% 40/70, shared their response to this …
Read More »Starting To Stand Up From The Table In The Deepwater Game Of Convict Poker?
It’s not the full house cleaning analysts want to see, but the offshore drilling industry took a positive step towards healing today. More retirements is something one of our guest contributors, Ron Davis, called for in an analysis piece this summer. More retirements is what we got today… There’s …
Read More »After 100 Years Of Sand Ranching, We’ve Learned A Few Things About These West Texas Dunes [Guest Post]
Historically, the sand dune fields in Winkler County Texas have primarily been used for cattle ranching. In the span of 9 months, 14 massive sand mines have been permitted in these ranchers’ backyards. Winkler ranches don’t change hands often – most have been in the same families for generations. So …
Read More »EOG Picked A Good One. Why Isn’t The Shale Industry Doing More Of This?
We provide experience-based insight on EOG’s latest corporate strategy move and break down how peers compare. We also discuss how this fits into current trends and why it makes sense in the new shale paradigm. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read …
Read More »It’s Been Wetter Than Normal This Year In Arid Winkler County. Here’s A Chart And Why It Matters
The Kermit area is extremely dry, having averaged just 11 inches of precipitation per year since 2000 per NOAA records. That’s only about 1/3rd of the national average. Locals we are in contact with as well as some environmental experts we’ve spoken with recently have mentioned that it has been …
Read More »Monday Night Football Was A Snooze… Hi-Crush’s Analyst Night Packed A Bigger Punch
While the Lions were busy pummeling the Giants 24-10 on Monday night, Hi-Crush was hosting an analyst day (or night as it were) for investors. Over dinner at the Holiday Inn in Odessa Texas, the event showcased nine senior executives providing an in-depth overview of the company’s business and introducing …
Read More »Atlas Moves South With Their Second Permian Basin Frac Sand Mine
We report breaking news from one of the new entrants in the Permian frac sand mine race. We think through some interesting angles about this new plant plan, this player’s second disclosed in the Permian Basin. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To …
Read More »South Texas Drilling Permits Bounce Back Quickly Following A Brief Harvey Hiatus
In this update we examine drilling permit data for South Texas to infer how the storm and subsequent flooding has impacted drilling rig demand in the region. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you …
Read More »Building Rock Solid Environmental And Safety Programs In The Shifting Sands Of West Texas [Guest Post]
As the Permian frac sand mining story moves from the exploration phase to the execution phase, we thought it’d be interesting to get Tommy Mathews‘s view on the challenges and considerations that Permian miners should be thinking about as they enter production mode. The land grab is over. It’s time …
Read More »A 2nd Permian Basin Sand Mine Flips On The Switch
In this update we share the latest on frac sand mine openings in the Permian including an exclusive look at the very latest at the 2nd site coming online. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research …
Read More »Sand Surveillance: 9 Interesting Market Insights From Last Week’s Investor Conference
Last week, more than 75 oilfield executive presented their outlooks at the Barclays Energy-Power conference in New York. We thumbed through all the transcripts to extract the most interesting new insights on the frac sand market. We glossed over pedestrian talking points, capturing only new and interesting stuff that we …
Read More »Solaris Silo Six-Packs Are Spreading Fast [Update, Analysis, & Site Visit Observations]
Solaris Oilfield Infrastructure’s shale presence is expanding rapidly. If you blink you might miss their next system deployment (most deployments are configured as silo six-packs). In this update, a look at their progress, their system up close and personal, and what’s next for this fast growing newcomer in the US …
Read More »US Land Drillers Aren’t Sweating The Rig Count Dip
During the third quarter, the US onshore rig count trajectory has finally leveled off. We wrote about the stall a couple weeks ago in this update. Speaking at an investor conference last week, two leading land drillers shrugged off the industry-wide rig count stall. See what they said in the …
Read More »DUC Hunting Season Returns [Guest Post]
When I first met Todd Bush, he was laying the groundwork for the research firm he co-founded in 2012, Energent Group. Even back then when his databases and software were in their early stages of development I recall being impressed by the granularity of the charts and output he was generating. …
Read More »The Pressure Pumping Newbuild Situation: Who Is Building, Who Is Not, And Who Is Not Saying…
At this point in the cycle, what every US shale market observer wants to know is when that big wave of newbuild pressure pumping equipment orders is going to hit. Pricing has been on the rise for over a year. Re-deployments have been the supply growth story so far, but …
Read More »Spot Shortage Of Frac Sand On Location In The Eagle Ford? [Discussion Topic]
There’s a new discussion topic in our forum on the Eagle Ford frac sand situation post Harvey. We’ve been hearing from industry sources this week word about temporary supply chain issues in Eagle Ford frac sand. We share what we’ve learned and invite readers to weigh in. Read & Discuss …
Read More »Harvey Makes His Presence Felt During First O&G Conference Since Landfall
Last week we noted that Harvey left us with more upstream questions than answers… questions we expected to begin to get answered this week at the Barclays CEO Energy-Power Conference in New York. On Tuesday afternoon, the first public O&G event since the storm commenced and most companies provided hurricane business …
Read More »What Wall Street Thinks Of The Oilfield Value Chain [2 Charts]
In this update, two quick charts to illustrate relative Wall Street sentiment divergence across the oilfield value chain. It’s been a rough year for O&G stocks in general, with the OSX index underperforming the S&P 500 by 42% year-to-date. But to really understand how Wall Street views the oilfield value …
Read More »Harvey Impedes Baker Hughes Rig Count While South Texas Drilling Permits Fall
In an unusual step, Baker Hughes declared Friday that an update on South Texas rig count was impossible to capture last week due to Hurricane Harvey. New drilling permits show the impact though… and we quantify that in this update. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see …
Read More »In Harvey’s Wake We Find More Upstream Onshore Questions Than Answers
In the wake of Hurricane Harvey’s catastrophic impact on Gulf Coast communities and enterprise, attention now turns to recovery timetables and rebuilding. At this point, quantifying the upstream onshore impact is still an exercise in speculation. So in this update, we share detailed questions folks who want to understand the …
Read More »The Tariffs Are Coming, The Tariffs Are Coming! Or Are They? [Guest Post]
In this Friday guest post, Susan Murphy (Publisher and Editor in Chief of The OCTG Situation Report®) provides some clear thinking on the Section 232 trade investigation. Section 232 is a controversial import swing factor injecting uncertainty in the OCTG sub-sector. We asked Susan to share her latest thoughts on status, …
Read More »Bulletproofing Black Mountain – A Look Behind The Gate
Impressions, takeaways, and observations from a morning spent with Black Mountain Sand in West Texas touring their new sand plants Vest and El Dorado. A slideshow of construction pictures is included in this update. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this …
Read More »Hurricane Harvey’s Impact On Upstream Onshore Activity [New Discussion Topic]
Over in our Thinking Aloud Forum, there is a new discussion topic on Hurricane Harvey’s onshore upstream impact. Most of the attention in the wake of the storm will focus on downstream, commodity prices, and offshore impacts. In the thread we provide a list of useful references on these areas …
Read More »US Rig Count Recovery Stalls In August After 14 Solid Months Of Gains
As expected, the Lower 48 rig count recovery is losing steam during 3Q17. Here’s 3 charts and thoughts on what it means for completions… There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a …
Read More »All Of Our Permian Field Trip Quick Hits Organized By Topic
Infill Thinking staff spent a full week in the Permian Basin in August 2017, touring facilities and visiting with contacts and management teams. We’ve collected 43 “quick hits” – crowd sourced datapoints and general market observations. Our time in the Permian was spent on the completions supply chain, particularly around …
Read More »Will This Young Buck Roaming The Dunes Become A Trophy? Introducing High Roller Sand
Some Infill Thinking readers may have known the High Roller name even before the company became a player in the Permian Basin sand rush. High Roller is the parent company of a diverse mix of oilfield businesses including waste water hauling, SWDs, sand transloading, and man camps. The firm is …
Read More »War On West Texas Sand Talent Heating Up: Job Fair Tomorrow
Tomorrow another new area sand producer will host a job fair in Odessa. We expect there will be quite a few more of these job fairs at area hotels before year-end. See what some local mines are doing to recruit staff and also the competition and challenges for talent that …
Read More »8-Month New Supply Hiatus? Grade Mix, Damp Sand, Branding Bonanza, Sales Point, Excel File… [Permian Quick Hits 4]
This update is Infill Thinking’s fourth and final installment of crowd sourced datapoints and firsthand observations from our Permian visit last week. Most of our field trips in the Permian this time were focused on the new sand mining efforts around Kermit and logistics/storage from transload to wellsite. Subscribers have …
Read More »Four US Land Drillers Own More Than Half The Active Rigs [Market Share Charts]
The US onshore rig market continues to consolidate not because of M&A but thanks to the dominance of horizontal drilling and rig specification escalation. In the four charts below, we share a time series of market share charts for Nabors Industries, Patterson-UTI, Helmerich & Payne and Precision Drilling. There’s a …
Read More »Hi-Crush Makes A Case For Limited Lizard-Related Production Interruption Risk
Since the Texas Comptroller’s letter singled out sand producers last week, West Texas miners have been inundated with questions. Investors and customers alike are becoming more concerned than ever about the trend’s exposure to Dune Sagebrush Lizard (DSL) habitat. We provide highlights from one company’s response supplemented with our firsthand knowledge from a …
Read More »Sand Prices, Permian Locations, Volume, Customers, Water, & Lizard Talk [Permian Quick Hits Part 3]
In this update, more from our recent trip behind the scenes in the Permian Basin frac sand mining build-out including contract price datapoints, lizard talk, a mine location identified, and trucking observations and deductions. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this …
Read More »Utilization, Trucking, Storage, OSHA, Feasibility, Contracting [Permian Quick Hits Part 2]
Crowd sourced datapoints and firsthand observations from our Permian visit this week are being shared in a series of “quick hits.” These bullet point lists include field-level market intelligence on wellsite trends, the frac sand mining rush, and the Permian oilfield at large. There’s a lot more to this story… …
Read More »Construction, Lead Times, Highways, Snooping, Hiring [Permian Quick Hits Part 1]
This week we miled up the rental car, dirtied up the steel toes, and took it all in out in the Permian Basin. General market observations from our Permian visit will be provided via several installments of these “quick hit” pieces as we process and compile what we’ve learned. Our …
Read More »Dynamite Lizard Letter From The Texas Comptroller Is Going To Leave A Mark
The letter’s rhetoric will almost certainly cause some market observers to start taking the under on how much Permian sand is actually going to make it out of local mines. It will almost certainly be looked back on as a starting point for more formal environmental opposition. We summarize the …
Read More »The Customer Is Always Right, And Here’s What Customers Are Saying About In-Basin Sand In Mid-2017
Over the past two weeks, we’ve begun to hear sand buyers express their take on the Permian Basin frac sand mining rush for the first time. What they are saying and our analysis of implications in this update. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… …
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