This week, E&P management teams talked with investors about the big picture framework and mindset this budget season. We recap the key takeaways from the key players and review the overarching themes of 2018 budget season and what this means for oilfield service contractors. There’s a lot more to this …
Read More »Diagnosis: US E&P 2017 Capex Is Stable & Within Normal Limits [Rebuttal Follow Up]
If 2H17 shale capex were on the operating table, our diagnosis would be that the patient’s vitals are stable and within normal limits. But as the old newspaper saying goes: “if it bleeds it leads,” so many reports continue to chose fear over reality. We dig into the numbers to …
Read More »Reports Of Shale Investment Demise Are Greatly Exaggerated. Don’t Buy The Fake News Lifting Oil Prices… [Rebuttal]
Contrary to the click bait proliferating on other media platforms, US oil producers are not slashing 2017 tight oil investment programs as a result of recent crude oil price volatility. Anadarko’s US onshore investment revision, which became the poster child for so called shale budget cuts this week, is grossly misunderstood. Not only …
Read More »Anadarko Says Less Sand/Well Tests Positive In The Rockies – This Adds Fuel To The Fire Halliburton Started Yesterday
The discussion around plateauing (wait… make that falling) frac sand/well is heating up. What’s new and what we think about it here. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a member. If …
Read More »Is Recovery Outside The USA A Lost Cause This Cycle? [New Discussion Topic]
There’s a new discussion topic posted in the Thinking Aloud forum. Most of our focus at InfillThinking.com this year has been on the Lower 48. That’s because most everything else is flat to down. With the oil price outlook under pressure and only the US tight oil plays growing, it’s time …
Read More »First Look At 2018 US E&P Capex & Rig Count: Flat At The Current Strip?
While the majors talk capex in terms of multi-year programs, the Independents that drive the Lower 48 drilling & completion markets are usually reticent to discuss specific year-ahead capex details until budget season (late-4Q / early 1Q). Last week an Independent talked specifics on their 2018 development plan – one …
Read More »The Largest Gas Producer Endorses A Conservative Unconventional Movement In The Shale Gas Revolution [Follow The Leaders]
Infill Thinking’s Follow The Leaders series distills key unconventional E&P strategies into real-time, digestible updates. The goal? Uncover future business opportunities and risks. Today we take a look at a new value creation strategy outlined by the leader in natural gas. The meaning of value creation in shale gas has changed. There’s a lot …
Read More »With US E&P Sentiment Hinging On $45 Crude, A Top Five Pressure Pumper Is Already Pulling Back
Everything seems lined up for an incredible 2H17 for US completion service providers. Everything except for oil prices. In a week of rampant pessimism, our obligatory negative post introduces several new developments you won’t read about anywhere else including what one of the biggest pressure pumpers in the market is telling …
Read More »E&Ps Actually Underspent Budget In Every Major US Onshore Play During 1Q17
We actively monitor spending patterns for approximately 50 public independent operators. With virtually all of their 1Q17 results disclosed over the past week or two, we can now report some detailed insights on what their spending during the first quarter of the year means for the rest of 2017. There’s a lot …
Read More »Key Borrowing Base Survey Is Out. Findings Include Banker Amnesia & Loosening Purse Strings
Along with many others in the industry, we actively monitor the Haynes & Boone Spring borrowing base re-determination survey each year. Released this week, the law firm’s latest survey suggests that bankers have shrugged off the capital destruction left by the downturn’s 120 O&G bankruptcies. There’s a lot more to this …
Read More »