Latest Thoughts

Can Weatherford & Nabors Steal Schlumberger’s Thunder?

On Wednesday afternoon, Weatherford announced that a new alliance has been formed with Nabors Industries to integrate drilling rigs and services in the US land market. This new service model is something Schlumberger has been talking about and working on for several years now. In this update, we offer our take …

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Seadrill Bankrupt By February? Confidential Slide Deck Shows They May Take The Plunge…

A restructuring press release from Seadrill on Tuesday sent shares tumbling 29%. The press release said achieving viable restructuring would involve “significant dilution to current shareholders” and noted that the company needs a $1bn lifeline. In this context, down shares 29% is about right. But significant dilution to shareholders in a restructuring …

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Halliburton Picks A Partner For The Last Mile Dance

Six weeks ago, we identified last mile logistics for frac sand as a potential choke point in the 2017 recovery. Frac sand’s last mile is a tedious dance between operators, trains, trucks, pumps and thousands of tons of sand. Halliburton validated our concerns on Monday evening. There’s a lot more to this …

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The Who’s Who Of Oilfield Service Product Lines

Last week, we came across a great rundown of oilfield leaders in specific product service lines prepared by EnergyPoint Research. For those new to oilfield services, this list is a great way to get up to speed on who does what. For those that have been around the business for …

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Is Baker Hughes Over-Innovating?

Baker Hughes seems to be taking an assembly line approach to innovation, focusing on product launch volume as an important KPI. This is in stark contrast to Steve Jobs’ disruptive approach to innovation, where he would focus on a single game-changing idea for years at a time. We’ve recently become …

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Time To Clear The Yards

The US onshore rig count increased another 19  rigs to 689 running last week. All of this activity coming back means rigs are being moved out of the yards and into the field. This creates a veritable boom for rig movers. We uncovered some proprietary market intelligence on rig moves …

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I’ll Take The Worst Neighborhoods In O&G For $200, Alex

The hardest sell in the entire O&G industry right now is without question a newbuild offshore rig order. Demand for offshore newbuilds is actually negative. Contractors continue to push out delivery dates, in some cases paying up to avoid taking delivery. With little visibility on a recovery, shipyards are being forced to …

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Sometimes You Need To Take A Breather

Nothing can go up and to the right forever, especially not the rig count. The US onshore rig count fell back by six units this week. This break is actually a good thing and we explain why and break down the weekly rig count in in this post. To read …

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Another Day, Another Permian Deal

WPX Energy joined in the Permian deal making fray, announcing a $775mm Delaware Basin acquisition late Thursday. 2017 operating plan announcements from Permian Independents aren’t the standard fare this year. We are used beginning of year E&P operating plans stating capex, production, and drilling program summaries. This year they are …

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Five Innovation Themes In Completions For 2017

In a related update published last week, we described how the brute force enterprise of nano-darcy E&P is becoming more elegant. Elegance is achieved as sub-surface understanding moves closer to a realistic picture of the reservoir. Enhancing sub-surface understanding is where leading innovators in shale are focused today. They are …

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One Of Our Buyers Makes A Deal

Last week we published a list of four companies we expect to make oil service acquisitions during 2017. Apparently grass isn’t growing under our buyers feet – less than a week after our preview, one of them has already made a purchase. To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must …

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Here Come The Guidance Raises In Oilfield Services

In an interim update posted this morning, oilfield chemical supplier Flotek positively revised its outlook to account for a more constructive US drilling and completions market as 2016 winds down. Last week we wrote about how the consensus 4Q slump is a no show this year. Flotek’s announcement provides confirmation and …

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The O&G Job Creation Engine Is Firing Again

In the US, the O&G industry has begun to hire staff again for the first time in two years. We snapped this encouraging photo in front of a Halliburton completions yard while touring the Permian Basin in early-December. Source: InfillThinking.com Given what we know about the ongoing recovery and a …

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Joy To The Oil & Gas World

This holiday season is the most jolly in years for the oil and gas business. It finally feels like the tide is turning on many fronts. One Year Ago, We Predicted Everything Would Bottom In 2016 Exactly one year ago, we wrote the following outlook for another shop: As realists, we have …

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In Offshore Drilling, Financial Restructuring Quietly Chugs Along As Noble And Shell Arrive At New Terms

Even when offshore drillers aren’t tapping the capital markets for debt or equity, financial restructuring is quietly continuing behind the scenes. Contractual terms continue to be renegotiated with customers, and price concessions are still being given. Literally hundreds of multi-year contracts that were in effect this time two years ago have …

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What Fourth Quarter Slump?

Back in October, the North American land market was bracing for a seasonal slowdown into year-end. Here’s the warning Halliburton CEO Dave Lesar issued on a conference call about 6 weeks ago: “Based on current customer feedback we remain cautious around customer activity due to holiday and seasonal weather-related downtime. Our customers …

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