Tag Archives: forecast

In our latest US onshore rig count forecast (updated in April), we estimated that active drilling rigs would peak at 950 units this year. As we stand today with 934 rigs turning to the right, our prediction leaves only ~16 rig additions left until hitting a US drilling plateau in …

We celebrate the recovery’s one-year anniversary by comparing how this recovery compares to others, revisiting our 2017 rig count forecast, and detailing rig count by region across the US. feature image photo credit: @jasplund91 There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update…  To read this update …

This week, we put the oil market’s biggest open question to oil traders on Twitter. What will OPEC do in exactly one month when the group meets to decide whether to extend the production quotas implemented in November 2016? We polled the most influential oil trading group on Twitter (#OOTT) on …

Last November before the OPEC meeting, we published a 2017 US land rig count forecast, which called for about 825 US land rigs working at year-end 2017. At the time, our forecast called for sharper growth during 1H17 than consensus expectations, with the pace of activity gains leveling off during 2H17. In this …

The biggest regional contributor to the US Shale Revolt will be the Permian Basin. The Permian is the only unconventional oil play where production has not fallen in the downturn. In fact, Permian production today is up 13% since that fateful OPEC meeting two years ago. Following it’s conventional production …

The Barclays investor conference held in New York the week of Labor Day marks the start of the year-end news rush. A hot item at Barclays was a basic truth about the oil market: failing to offset natural declines will push oil prices higher every time. Today’s capex starvation is setting up tomorrow’s feast. There’s …