The chart below visualizes US E&P operator budgets in a very important way… There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a member. If you are new to Infill Thinking, or your membership …
Read More »It’s Official: Known 2019 US E&P Spending Programs Enter Contraction Territory
2019 E&P capex budget expectations have devolved fairly rapidly, worn down by macro erosion and crude oil price volatility. Over the past several months, multiple Infill Thinking updates have warned that 2019 E&P budgets (which initially pointed to spending increases) were at risk of contracting into negative territory in the …
Read More »2019 US Onshore E&P Budgets Starting To Fade In Aggregate [Updated Table]
Some of the most important numbers of early-2019 are trickling out and we’re tracking them here so you don’t have to. There’s a lot more to this story… Login to see the full update… To read this update and receive our research newsletters, you must be a member. If you …
Read More »It’s Early, But Here Are The Most Important Things Oilfield Service Customers Have Said About 2019
Equally as important as the 2019 spending program figures being released this season is the accompanying management commentary. In fact, this is actually more important than the headline numbers in some cases. We discuss what has caught our eye so far in the 2019 planning season and also provide readers …
Read More »The Independents May Intend To Temper Tight Oil Growth Next Year, But The Majors Sure Don’t…
On Tuesday, we warned that by taking their foot of the capex gas pedal at this point in the cycle, the Independents risk ceding share in shale development to the Majors. On Wednesday, Chevron’s 2018 budget release confirmed that this indeed will happen if actions follow words. There’s a lot …
Read More »Is It Really Different This Time? [Chart Of The Day]
We believe the recent surge of returns-focus rhetoric from E&Ps is having a considerable impact on consensus expectations for US shale E&P spending. This was evident in our recent survey, where participants expressed a bullish view on y/y oil price trends yet waxed conservative on the spending outlook. In this …
Read More »Establishing A 2018 Tight Oil E&P Capex Growth Floor? The Most Budget Conscious E&P Set A 16% 2018 Increase Vs. Prior 2017 Plan
Anadarko’s 2018 capital spending program was released Thursday morning. It is one of the first detailed 2018 E&P budgets to be released this budget season. Given their focus on discipline and returns and leadership in crafting a sustainable framework for developing tight oil, Anadarko’s E&P capex budget should help establish …
Read More »Diagnosis: US E&P 2017 Capex Is Stable & Within Normal Limits [Rebuttal Follow Up]
If 2H17 shale capex were on the operating table, our diagnosis would be that the patient’s vitals are stable and within normal limits. But as the old newspaper saying goes: “if it bleeds it leads,” so many reports continue to chose fear over reality. We dig into the numbers to …
Read More »The Largest Gas Producer Endorses A Conservative Unconventional Movement In The Shale Gas Revolution [Follow The Leaders]
Infill Thinking’s Follow The Leaders series distills key unconventional E&P strategies into real-time, digestible updates. The goal? Uncover future business opportunities and risks. Today we take a look at a new value creation strategy outlined by the leader in natural gas. The meaning of value creation in shale gas has changed. There’s a lot …
Read More »E&Ps Actually Underspent Budget In Every Major US Onshore Play During 1Q17
We actively monitor spending patterns for approximately 50 public independent operators. With virtually all of their 1Q17 results disclosed over the past week or two, we can now report some detailed insights on what their spending during the first quarter of the year means for the rest of 2017. There’s a lot …
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