One beaten-down reader told us last week that we need to start a virtual happy hour after every newsletter we send these days. We understand – the subject matter is indeed depressing. Recent newsletters haven’t been easy for us to ship, for we know that our writings reflect the pain …
Read More »Sharpest & Shortest Drilling Recovery In Modern US Land Rig History?
The falling rig count is playing heavily into early 3Q17 conference call discussions, particularly after last week’s big drop. We’ve long thought this correction was expected, but reaction to the decline reminds us that nothing is ever truly “priced in” until it happens. Here’s some context on where we’ve been, …
Read More »Is It Just Us Or Is The Tide Starting To Turn For Offshore Drilling? [Discussion Topic]
There is a new discussion topic over in our Thinking Aloud forum this morning It revolves around the apparent return of some optimism in the offshore drilling sector, particularly deepwater. Is this compressed business finally on the verge of a turn or is it still too early to be cautiously …
Read More »Is Recovery Outside The USA A Lost Cause This Cycle? [New Discussion Topic]
There’s a new discussion topic posted in the Thinking Aloud forum. Most of our focus at InfillThinking.com this year has been on the Lower 48. That’s because most everything else is flat to down. With the oil price outlook under pressure and only the US tight oil plays growing, it’s time …
Read More »As The Sharpest US Drilling Recovery Ever Continues, The Permian Is Being Left Out Now
In our previous weekly rig count update, we noted that Permian growth has been slowing and provided some thinking as to why. This week, Lower 48 drilling surged, printing its best weekly gain since January. But the Permian was notably absent from the party. We’ve got charts, stats and analysis on …
Read More »Here Come The Guidance Raises In Oilfield Services
In an interim update posted this morning, oilfield chemical supplier Flotek positively revised its outlook to account for a more constructive US drilling and completions market as 2016 winds down. Last week we wrote about how the consensus 4Q slump is a no show this year. Flotek’s announcement provides confirmation and …
Read More »The Three Scariest Risk Factors Facing This Fragile Recovery
Infill Thinking’s launch 10 days ago coincides with the arrival of a young oilfield recovery. The definition of recovery is different this time – shallower and more gradual than before – but there is no doubt that, at a minimum, oilfield contraction is abating. Against this backdrop, our early updates …
Read More »Did You Catch Halliburton’s Big Tone Shift? It Signals A “Roll Up Your Sleeves” Sort Of Recovery Ahead
An important tone shift in how Halliburton addressed investors Wednesday morning foreshadows a different type of recovery ahead. Reading between the lines, we’ve dubbed the upcycle of the future a “roll up your sleeves” recovery. What will oilfield companies have to do to achieve prior KPIs in the recovery ahead? We discuss that and more… There’s …
Read More »At The Cusp Of 3Q16 EPS Season, The Worm Has Finally Turned
Oilfield earnings season begins this week with Halliburton’s conference call. The tone on this upcoming round of calls is likely to be more positive than any time in recent memory. In this Thinking Ahead we outline key calls to monitor and discuss seven key themes we expect to be prevalent during the imminent earnings season. …
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